Content／学習内容

• Introduction to the Course

  Japan’s evolving Indo-Pacific role focuses on security policies, global conflicts like Ukraine, and strategic simulations. It addresses the shift from economic interdependence to global norm promotion, emphasizing flexibility in response to crises like COVID-19 and Japan’s 2011 earthquake. Red Team Thinking enhances decision-making by challenging traditional assumptions. The lecture links lessons from the Korean War to current global security, examining emerging technologies’ impact on warfare. Japan strengthens alliances, including NATO and the US, to address regional instability, nuclear threats, and evolving geopolitical challenges.

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  • Introduction to the Course

    After the self-introduction of the lecturer and a review of the outline of the course “Introduction 1: Peace Building and Conflict Prevention Re-Designing Japan’s Future Vision,” the course overview and key concepts of Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) are also explained.

  • Introduction to Policy Simulation

    Learn how we can use policy simulations to better understand peace and conflict in the Indo-Pacific and why policy simulations are effective.

  • Black Swan and Red Team Thinking

    Understand how to design policy simulations. Also understand the concepts of Black Swan and Red Team Thinking, which are both simulation features.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Back to the Future 1

  This lecture links the historical context of the Korean War to contemporary challenges in warfare. It explores how lessons from the Korean War, such as the importance of maintaining the status quo and avoiding nuclear escalation, inform current policy simulations. It also addresses how emerging technologies–such as artificial intelligence, big data, and hypersonic missiles–are shaping the future of warfare. The lecture emphasizes the need for rapid decision-making, resilience, and strategic partnerships to effectively address these evolving challenges.

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  • Wars in Asia: Cold or Hot?

    In order to discuss the prospect of war or military operation in the Indo-Pacific, this lecture explains what happened in the region and its implication for geographical outreach.

  • Cold War in Asia: Korean War

    The key historical events and military operations of the cold wars in Asia such as the Korean War and the Vietnam War are discussed in order to understand the lessons learned from them and their historical implications.

  • The End of the Cold War in Europe and Asia?

    Summing up the key findings of the Cold War in Asia through the question, “What is the end of the Cold War? Ideology, Power or Neither?”

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Back to the Future 2

  The future of warfare is shaped by emerging technologies, strategic deterrence, and evolving global alliances. Modern conflicts span cyber, AI, and advanced weaponry, demanding proactive defense strategies. Japan is deepening security ties with NATO and the US, enhancing maritime capabilities and deterrence. Rising geopolitical tensions, including Russia-North Korea cooperation, highlight the fragility of neutrality. Strengthened alliances in the Indo-Pacific are crucial for regional stability and countering future threats.

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  • What is the Future of Warfare?

    Consider the features of future warfare based on the reports from the “Future War” Project.

  • New Round of Connectivity in the Indo-Pacific

    Analyze Indo-Pacific connectivity at both the strategic and theater levels. Understand the implications of Japan’s recent deeper involvement with NATO beyond the Indo-Pacific region.

  • Looking to the Future

    Parts 1 and 2 are summarized. Understand that interconnected global alliances are crucial for maintaining stability and deterring aggression in the Indo-Pacific and beyond.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Japan’s Security Challenges: North Korea, China, and Regional Stability

  Japan’s security landscape is shaped by North Korea’s evolving military threats, including nuclear weapons and missile capabilities. Japan has deployed a layered missile defense system, including SM-3 and PAC-3 interceptors and warning systems such as J-Alert. The US-Japan alliance remains essential for deterrence. In addition, North Korea’s internal instability, influenced by South Korean culture, raises concerns about long-term regime fragility. Japan must continually adapt to ensure regional stability and preparedness.

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  • North Korea

    Three questions are discussed with the guest speaker:In what ways is North Korea a threat to Japan?How is Japan responding?What are the important scenarios?

  • China

    The same questions are discussed with the guest speaker regarding China:In what ways is China a threat to Japan?How is Japan responding?What are the important scenarios?

  • Key Findings

    The discussions from Parts 1 and 2 are summarized with the focus on the military risks that Japan faces, as well as the essential aspects of Japan’s response.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Narushige Michishita

    National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (US)

  The analysis examines the shift of the US from isolationism to active involvement in the Indo-Pacific through strategic alliances. NATO’s post-Cold War expansion reshaped Europe’s balance of power, raising concerns in Russia. The unexpected North Korea-Russia alliance in the Ukraine conflict highlights the importance of preparing for unpredictable events. It also emphasizes critical thinking by learning from past crises to manage global security challenges, including nuclear threats and international conflict.

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  • Indo-Pacific Strategies (US)

    To understand why and how the US promotes Indo-Pacific connectivity to ensure regional stability, its historical background is explained.

  • NATO Expansion in the Post-Cold War Years

    Understand how the US looked into the alliance management and expansion with the focus on NATO expansion from the end of the Cold War to the present and its implication from the perspectives of membership, operations, and partners.

  • Alliance Expansion is the Cause of the Russia-Ukraine War?

    Parts 1 and 2 are briefly summerized and reviewed for a deeper understanding of the reasons why the US supports the Indo-Pacific concept.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (UK)

  The UK’s strategic position in the Indo-Pacific is shaped by historical ties, nuclear capabilities, and key alliances, including AUKUS. NATO, traditionally Euro-Atlantic-focused, is expanding partnerships with Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand due to emerging threats from China, Russia, and disruptive technologies like AI and hypersonic missiles. The UK, alongside the US and Australia, plays a vital role in fostering proactive defense cooperation, emphasizing joint military development and regional stability.

  Videos

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  • Indo-Pacific Strategies (UK)

    The UK’s unique position in the Indo-Pacific region, focusing on its historical ties, strategic alliances, and evolving role in security is explained.

  • New Framework: NATO Indo-Pacific (IP) Partners

    Understand NATO’s evolving role in the Indo-Pacific region, focusing on its strategic partnerships with countries such as Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand.

  • New Trends: UK-Japan-Italy Joint Development of the Next Generation Fighter

    Future challenges and its implications for Japan are discussed based on the perspective of the UK, focusing on Joint Develoment of Defense Equipment, GCAP (Global Combat Aircraft Program) and NATO IP-4 Partnership.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (Europe) 1

  The shifting global security landscape, focusing on the strategic partnership between China, Russia, and North Korea, and the implications for the Indo-Pacific and global security. It emphasizes NATO’s role, US foreign policy priorities, and the importance of strengthening alliances, particularly in light of the Russia-Ukraine War. Key themes include extended deterrence, shared intelligence, and the need for international cooperation to address emerging geopolitical crises, such as tensions over Taiwan.

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  • European views of the Indo-Pacific

    Indo-Pacific connectivity is discussed focusing on the evolving security trends in the Indo-Pacific region and their implications for European and global security.

  • How Europe Could Cooperate with Partners- IP4

    After the introduction of a new term “IP-4”, why Europe cooperates with IP-4 and the contingency in the Indo-Pacific are discussed.

  • Key Findings

    The shifting nature of global alliances, notably NATO and the European Union is reviewed based on the discussion with the guest speaker, using the terms Strategic Narratives and A2/AD (Anti-Access and Area Denial).

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Lotje Boswinkel

    Brussels School of Governance

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (Europe) 2

  The Russia-Ukraine war has reshaped Europe’s security, energy, and economic policies, emphasizing NATO’s role, energy diversification, and geopolitical resilience. Franco-German cooperation, pivotal in post-war European integration, is explored as a model for regional unity. The EU’s evolution from economic agreements to a geopolitical force is contrasted with Asia’s challenges in regional cooperation. Lessons from Ukraine and COVID-19 stress the need for pragmatic leadership, inclusiveness, and long-term strategic partnerships.

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  • European Economy in a Global Context

    The impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on Europe’s security, energy and economic strategies is discussed.

  • Franco-German Cooperation and European Community

    After World War II, France and Germany’s relationship changed from adversarial to collaborative. The history and significance of this transition, as well as the relevance of economic cooperation are discussed.

  • European Integration

    Key findings of this lesson are summarized from two perspectives: Historical implications of the European Community and the Impact of the Russian-Ukraine War. Based on such, a new question is asked “what is the significance of European integration for Asia?”

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Marie Krpata

    French Institute of International Relations

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (Europe) 3

  Europe navigates a complex relationship with China, balancing cooperation, competition, and systemic rivalry in trade, security, and geopolitics. The EU’s strategic outlook addresses industrial and territorial challenges, while France prioritizes Indo-Pacific stability. The war in Ukraine highlights the need for defense resilience and strategic autonomy. Japan’s diplomatic role, capacity-building, and maritime security underscore the importance of transparent, cooperative frameworks for maintaining global stability and avoiding escalation.

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  • Europe and China

    The discussion focuses on Europe’s evolving approach to China, highlighting the balance between partnership, competition, and rivalry.

  • Relationship between Indo-Pacific and Europe

    The French and European perspective on the Indo-Pacific and China’s partnership with Russia are highlighted in the discussion.

  • Key Findings

    The complex relationship between competition and partnership in Europe and China, from a historical and geopolitical perspective is reviewed.How resilience is an important source of stability or partnership is also discussed.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Marie Krpata

    French Institute of International Relations

• Indo-Pacific Strategies (Germany)

  Germany’s Indo-Pacific strategy balances economic interests, security, and multilateralism. Emphasizing human rights, rule-based governance, and regional stability, Germany adapts to geopolitical shifts and rising powers like India and China. Unlike Japan’s constitutional constraints, Germany’s NATO and EU commitments allow for flexible security cooperation. Future success lies in fostering regional dialogue, trust-building, and expanding multilateral security frameworks to ensure stability and prevent conflicts in the Indo-Pacific.

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  • German Views on the Indo-Pacific 1

    Understand what Germany values in its approach to the Indo-Pacific, as well as the historical background of the evolution of Germany’s engagement.

  • German Views on the Indo-Pacific 2

    Understand the drivers of change, future possibilities, and the influence of the Russia-Ukraine War on German policy.

  • Key Findings: German Views on the Indo-Pacific

    Understand the similarities, differences and future prospects of German/European and Japanese/Asian security strategies.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Tobias Kollakowski

    German Institute for Defence and Strategic Studies

• The Indo-Pacific Region Viewed From Ukraine

  Viewing the connections between Japan and Europe across the Indo-Pacific through an interview with a student from Ukraine.

  Videos

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  • Ukrainian Student Interview

    The interview with a Ukrainian graduate student at TUFS highlights how the ongoing war with Russia changed the world. She also explained how the EU and NATO worked together in this crisis.

  • Japanese Support to Ukraine

    Tokyo steps up its efforts to enhance Ukraine’s resilience. It includes political, diplomatic, economic, and social assistance through EU and NATO channels.

  • Simulating Our Future

    Japan-Europe interconnectivity across the Indo-Pacific matters. It aims at strengthening extended deterrence globally.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Ukrainian Perspectives

  The lecture explores the impact of disinformation on warfare and security. Key topics included Ukraine’s resilience, security guarantees, and Japan’s role in supporting European partners. The discussion emphasizes reputational costs, commitment levels, and nuclear threats. Japan-Ukraine relations are examined through strategic cooperation, resilience-building, and symbolic roles in nuclear disarmament. The session also highlights the significance of cyber warfare, misinformation, and multi-domain operations in modern conflicts, reinforcing the need for institutional commitments and global security partnerships.

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  • Current Situation in Ukraine

    After introducing the “Ukrainian Prism”, the interview explores Ukraine’s geopolitical challenges and Japan’s role in supporting its security and reconstruction.

  • Strengthening Japan-Ukraine Relations

    The discussion explores Ukraine’s foreign policy, security concerns, and the role of international partnerships, particularly with Japan.

  • Key Findings

    The discussion focuses on disinformation, security resilience, and the broader geopolitical implications of Japan-Ukraine relations.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Hanna Shelest

    Ukrainian Prism

  • Hennadiy Maksak

    Ukrainian Prism

• Policy Simulation 1

  In the simulation, major powers (Russia, the US, China, Japan, and NATO) respond to crises in Ukraine and Taiwan. Russia opposes NATO’s expansion and strengthens ties with North Korea. The US boosts support to Ukraine and Japan, enhancing military partnerships. China focuses on regional alliances and semiconductor control, while Japan pursues a more active role in global security. NATO remains committed to its defensive posture, and the simulation exercise highlights strategic competition, military readiness, and diplomatic balancing.

  Videos

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  • Introduction to Policy Simulation

    Following a brief introduction by the lecturer, an academic policy simulation exercise involving Ukraine, Taiwan, and the threat of nuclear weapons begins.

  • Policy Simulation

    An educational policy simulation exercise involving NATO, the US, Japan, China and Russia, will continue focusing on Taiwan and Ukraine.

  • Review and Key Findings

    Review how the policy simulation exercise proceeded. The simulation highlights the delicate balance between military, economic, and diplomatic efforts, emphasizing the role of alliances and regional powers like Japan in shaping global stability.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Policy Simulation 2

  The exercise focused on global strategic reactions to the Ukraine and Taiwan crises, highlighting the roles of Russia, China, the US, NATO, and Japan. Key issues included nuclear deterrence, military coordination, and international diplomacy. The importance of Indo-Pacific connectivity, strategic partnerships, and resilience in global supply chains was also emphasized, underscoring the need for collaboration, capacity-building, and preparedness to address long-term challenges and maintain stability.

  Videos

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  • Strategic Dynamics

    The policy simulation exercise explores global strategic reactions with a focus on Ukraine and Taiwan, emphasizing multilateralism and alliances.

  • Global Strategic Tensions

    The exercise delved into the interconnected crises of Ukraine and Taiwan, emphasizing the loss of credibility in deterrence and the importance of resilience for global stability.

  • Indo-Pacific Connectivity

    Summary of why Indo-Pacific connectivity matters by using the 5W&1H analytical approach.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

• Conclusion

  The policy simulation focuses on the interconnectedness of crises such as Ukraine and Taiwan. Japan’s evolving defense strategy was discussed, emphasizing military alliances and coordination with NATO, South Korea, and Australia. It also highlights the growing influence of the Global South in global security, the unpredictability of geopolitical events, and the importance of preparing for “Black Swan” scenarios, especially nuclear escalation, stressing the need for diverse perspectives in security discourse.

  Videos

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  • Looking Back: Methodology

    After describing the policy simulation exercise that explores the interconnectedness of global crises, particularly the Ukraine and Taiwan crises, the exercise’s utility and what was learned from it are discussed.

  • Key Findings 1

    Opinions on policy simulations and their design are shared. For global security discourse, the necessity of a more comprehensive approach, incorporating varied perspectives from the global south is discussed.

  • Key Findings 2

    For confronting the unpredictable nature of modern geopolitical events, the importance of preparing for “Black Swan” events and the value of “Red Team” perspectives are reviewed.

  Lecturers

  ／講師

  • Tomonori Yoshizaki

    Tokyo University of Foreign Studies

  • Lotje Boswinkel

    Brussels School of Governance

  • Tobias Kollakowski

    German Institute for Defence and Strategic Studies

Staff／スタッフ

• 
  Tomonori Yoshizaki

  Tokyo University of Foreign Studies
• 
  Narushige Michishita

  National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
• 
  Lotje Boswinkel

  Brussels School of Governance
• 
  Marie Krpata

  French Institute of International Relations
• 
  Tobias Kollakowski

  German Institute for Defence and Strategic Studies
• 
  Hanna Shelest

  Ukrainian Prism
• 
  Hennadiy Maksak

  Ukrainian Prism

Competency／コンピテンシー

Contact／お問合せ先

Tokyo University of Foreign Studies
Office for International Affairs
tufs_pcs_ondemand@tufs.ac.jp

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